CHAPTER
TWO: ELECTRIC INDUSTRY COMPETITION AND RESTRUCTURING IN OTHER STATES
Introduction
This
chapter reviews activity to establish wholesale and retail competition
in other states. It looks at experience in states that have established
retail markets and at preconditions for markets and key issues being
addressed by other states. The chapter also examines market transformation
that is occurring with a focus on merger activity of significance
to Nebraska. It concludes with a review of the pressures that may
face Nebraska from neighboring states, regional agencies, and federal
agencies.
Overview
of Activity at the State Level
As
noted in Chapter One, while the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
is proceeding with efforts to expand regional wholesale markets,
Congress has thus far left it to states to determine the timing
and form of retail competition. As of June 1, 1999, nineteen states
have enacted restructuring legislation: Arizona, Arkansas, California,
Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts,
Montana, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, Oklahoma,
Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Texas, and Virginia. (See Map M2-1:
as may be noted there is a direct correlation between the costs
indicated on Map M1-1 and activity noted in Map M2-1.)
Three
state public utility commissions have issued comprehensive restructuring
orders: New Jersey; New York; and Vermont.
Four
states have pending legislative or commission orders: Missouri,
Ohio, Oregon and South Carolina.
Twenty-four
states and the District of Columbia have active legislative and/or
regulatory processes underway to study restructuring and propose
legislation (This includes Nebraska).
Five
states have undertaken little preliminary activity to date. Among
those states, Florida and South Dakota have indicated they do not
anticipate any effort toward retail competition in the near term.
Analysts
tracking state legislative proposals have noted there are fewer
electric industry restructuring bills pending or anticipated at
the state level in 1999 than in 1998. This has been taken as an
indication that the first wave of movement toward retail competition,
largely in the states with high electric rates, has passed. Underscoring
this indication, in December 1998, public utility commissioners
from 23 states issued a joint appeal to Congress to let states decide
individually if and how they would restructure their electric utilities
for retail competition. With electric rates averaging 24 percent
below the national average, regulators in these states feared that
retail competition could create a flow of low-cost power from their
states, undermining benefits of local generation and damaging economic
development. In 1998, the Governor of Nebraska formed the Governor's
Public Power Alliance. The alliance has six members: Nebraska, Tennessee,
Alaska, Puerto Rico, South Dakota and Washington state. Nebraska
Governor Johanns serves as co-chair with Tennessee Governor Don
Sundquist. The alliance was formed to ensure that consumers served
by the nation's consumer-owned utilities are not disadvantaged by
congressional efforts to restructure the nation's electric utility
industry.
2.1.1
States Opening Competitive Retail Markets
In
January 1999 retail competition for power supply was being established
or underway in four of the states that has passed legislation: Rhode
Island, California, Massachusetts, and Pennsylvania. During 1999,
retail competition was also anticipated to open in Arizona, Illinois,
New Hampshire (pending resolution of litigation), and New Jersey.
In the year 2000: Connecticut and Maine. Nevada requires choice
for all consumers by October 2001. Oklahoma and Montana have specified
customer choice by July 2002, although the Oklahoma law is little
more than a skeletal outline. Virginia's retail market is expected
to open in January 2004.
Experience
in the four states with open retail markets in January 1999 shows
opportunities for large customers, but difficulty in creating market
conditions that allow small commercial and residential consumers
to be served. As a result of "cherry-picking" of large
customers disaggregation of load has resulted that has diminished
load factors and diversity making it more costly to serve the consumers
left behind. The market has also been characterized by private deal-making
and non-transparent pricing, which prevent competitive forces from
functioning effectively. Officials in many states are watching the
events in the formative retail markets. Although there are distinct
differences between the competitive retail markets being initiated,
common issues and problems have also emerged.
2.1.1.1
Rhode Island
The
Rhode Island Public Utility Commission approved the principles of
competition in August 1995. The legislature passed the Utility Restructuring
Act on August 1, 1996 and it was signed by the governor one week
later. Underlying the legislation was an agreement with the New
England Electric System which served nearly all of the consumers
in the state, and the remaining smaller utilities. It allowed for
competitive supply for large industrial and commercial customers
to begin in July 1997, and for residential consumers by January
1998. Competition was for power supply only; metering, billing and
distribution and transmission functions were to remain regulated
operations of the existing utility. For consumers who did not wish
to choose a competitive power supplier, or who could not find one
willing to serve them, the law created a "standard offer"
price for power to be provided by the existing utility.
The
goal of the legislation was to gain savings for consumers by breaking
up the geographical utility monopolies. However, the standard offer
rate was set so low that small consumers have not found competitive
suppliers to serve them. This was also an initial problem for municipal
and commercial consumers. Increases in standard offer prices over
time are expected to remedy this situation. In regard to elimination
of the utility monopoly, although power supply may become more diversified,
mergers and acquisitions by a British company. National Grid Group
PLC. are expected to bring all distribution services and standard
offer customers under a single company for the entire state.
2.1.1.2
California
California's
electric industry restructuring legislation, Assembly Bill 1890,
was in process during the same period as Rhode Island's legislation
and was signed into law six weeks later, in September 1996. As implemented,
it opened the retail market for all consumers on March 31, 1998.
The law called for a 10 percent reduction in electric rates and
"standard offer" prices for those without a competitive
supplier. It allowed 100 percent stranded cost recovery by utilities
(estimated at $28 billion) and allowed the state's three major investor-owned
utilities to issue up to $10 billion in state-backed bonds to finance,
or securitize, additional debt from the transition. The state's
three major investor-owned utilities were required to completely
unbundle and to divest 50 percent of their fossil fueled generation.
The proceeds are expected to help offset stranded costs and provide
financial resources to these utilities for competitive operations.
State regulators have also ordered the three major utilities to
unbundle the cost of metering and billing from other distribution
services. Competition is being examined for these services in addition
to power supply.
Consumer-owned
systems which serve 30 percent of the state's electric consumers
have been given an "opt-out" and several years to hold
hearings and determine whether to make the transition to a competitive
retail market.
Underlying
California's transition has been the creation of a wholesale market
system consisting of an Independent System Operator (ISO) for transmission
services and a Power Exchange (PX) acting as a market hub for wholesale
power auctions. Participation in the ISO and PX are mandatory for
the state's three large investor-owned utilities and voluntary for
other participants. The start-up of the ISO and PX proved much more
complex than originally anticipated and delayed the opening of the
retail market from an original date of January 1, 1998. Costs to
establish the ISO and PX also rose to more than one billion dollars.
Part of this high cost can be attributed to the short time frame
allowed for start-up and the complexity and size of the computer
system and operations required to manage the ISO and PX. The PX
has been subject to price volatility, causing concern among competitive
retail suppliers about market stability.
As
part of its restructuring, the state also put in place an $89 million
program for extensive consumer education and protection, as well
as charges to assure on-going development of renewable energy and
energy efficiency. However, as in Rhode Island, large industrial
and commercial consumers have received competitive supply while
in total only a fraction of the state's ten million consumers (estimated
a slightly more than one percent) have been able to contract for
competitive power supply. Shortly after the market opened, major
competitive suppliers announced that they were abandoning the residential
market, due to the low "standard offer" price allowed
to incumbent utilities. The number of competitive suppliers in the
state has reportedly dwindled to 25 and further erosion is anticipated.
A survey undertaken by RKS Research and Consulting found that the
majority of respondents believed that the three investor-owned utilities
were not committed to the concept of an open energy market. Voters,
however, declined to overturn the state electric restructuring legislation
in November 1998 and advocates of competition believe it will take
time for the market to mature.
2.1.1.3
Massachusetts
Massachusetts
passed its Electric Utility Restructuring Act in November 1997.
The legislation closely tracked that of California and Rhode Island.
The intent of the law was to bring rate reductions and benefits
of competition to consumers over time. It set conditions for a mandatory
rate reduction, a low standard offer rate, and voluntary divestiture
of generating plants by investor-owned utilities. In addition to
allowing full recovery of all prudently incurred stranded costs,
the law authorized issuance of bonds to securitize utility debt.
Municipal electric systems were left outside the jurisdiction of
the law, but those that do not open to retail competition by March
1, 2003, are required to conduct a study on competitive choice of
generation, and a possible municipal referendum. Public power systems
choosing to engage in competitive supply outside their borders are
required to immediately open their territories to other power suppliers.
Municipalities without public power systems were also recognized
as having the authority to aggregate consumers.
The
market opened March 1, 1998, four months after the legislation.
Regulators maintained a hectic pace to put adequate rules in place
for utility and supplier transactions and were still engaged in
that process following the open-market date. In addition to incomplete
or uncertain rules, the fact that a functioning ISO was not in place
until May 1, 1999 had a dampening effect on the market. Also, as
in California and Rhode Island, "standard offer" rates
were initially set below market prices. While large industrial and
commercial customers have received competitive supply, small commercial
and residential consumers have been left with their existing utility,
until such time as the standard offer rate for electric energy reach
market price levels. As in California, major competitive suppliers
left the residential market until market prices improve. A referendum
vote in November 1998, had the same results as California, with
voters not wanting to overturn the new law.
A year
after the opening of the retail market, power supply marketers were
working primarily through industrial and business organizations
to acquire high-use customers. One estimate was that approximately
6,000 customers have switched. Aggregation of consumers by public
associations and municipalities was underway with larger consumers
in those groups receiving service. As in California, these transactions
have been private, and transparent pricing necessary for viable
competition has not been available to consumers or competitors.
The
opening of the competitive wholesale auction system. ISO New England.
on May 1, 1999 further chilled the retail market, delivering higher,
and not lower prices. While some analysts believe this is a short
term aberration, others believe that market prices may remain high
and volatile until additional generating capacity is built in the
region.
In the meantime, mergers are underway for several of the state's
investor-owned utilities (most of which have divested their fossil-fired
generating plants and ascertained their stranded costs). This has
led to speculation that Massachusetts consumers could be served
by only one or two distribution companies in the near future. Because
several of those companies are engaged in delivery of other services.
such as telecommunications, natural gas, or cable television. concern
about market power and the viability of competition is likely to
emerge.
2.1.1.4
Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania
restructuring legislation was enacted in December of 1996 and scheduled
for initial implementation on January 1, 1999. Similar to other
states, the law required the Pennsylvania's seven investor-owned
utilities to separate their generation and distribution operations.
Also similar to other states, the incumbent utility would provide
metering, billing and distribution services, although this too could
become subject to competition. Pennsylvania. s plan also provided
for a rate cap that may extend for nine years, stranded cost recovery,
divestiture of assets, and securitization for a portion of the stranded
costs. Public power systems and electric cooperatives were not required
to open their markets unless they wanted to compete outside their
territories.
Different
from other the other states, Pennsylvania established "pilot
projects" for each utility that phased into its open market.
Also, the state did not establish a "standard offer" price
but set a "shopping credit" price equal to each utility's
cost of power. Although it constituted a similar benchmark price
for competitors to beat, the "shopping credits" were set
at more realistic levels than standard offer prices which were not
necessarily based on a utility's power costs. The "shopping
credits" provided greater opportunity for profit and attraction
for competitive power marketers. Forty-two suppliers were approved
by the state utility commission. Mass advertising and marketing
efforts to consumers became widespread.
Each
of the incumbent investor-owned electric utilities developed a competitive
subsidiary and market program along with the pilot programs. The
pilot programs were deemed a success. Of a total or three to four
million customers eligible, more than 1.8 million signed up for
the opportunity to switch to a new power supplier by sending in
a postcard. Of the 1.8 million, an estimated 400,000 customers were
noted to have actually changed power supplier in the early months
of the market. Most alternative suppliers selected were subsidiaries
of their incumbent electric utility. Industrial and commercial customers
made up the majority of those who switched, with only about 10 percent
of residential customers making a change. As in other states, aggregation
of customer groups through business and other organizations occurred
to bring marketers low-cost access to customers. Because of high
transaction costs for each customer and disaggregation of load due
to "cherry-picking," consumers advocates in the state
are concerned about how small commercial and residential customers
will be able to enter and gain benefits in the market. Rising and
volatile wholesale power costs and a shakeout among competitive
suppliers, with marketing subsidiaries of existing utilities having
a competitive advantage, are also seen as possible detriments to
full market participation. Merger activities in the state could
also affect the future of the competitive market.
2.1.2
Key Issues in Other States
Early
common problems in the open-market states indicate certain key issues
must be fully addressed and certain preconditions should be met
before undertaking retail competition aimed at benefiting all consumers.
A functioning and stable wholesale market and adequate market rules
are essential for retail market development. The need for other
preconditions is also apparent in the experience of the states undertaking
competition and restructuring of their electric utilities. (These
preconditions are outlined below and discussed in chapters 3 and
5, and as part of a policy framework in Chapter 9.)
First
in terms of structure:
- A
viable wholesale power supply market must be in place with some
type of market hub in the form of a Power Exchange or transaction
center.
- A
transmission network with non-discriminatory access for suppliers
must be in place and fully functioning.
- All
market power issues must be addressed including corporate and
operational reorganization and divestiture of assets.
-
A strong regulatory structure must be in place that can promulgate
rules and standards and provide adequate enforcement and oversight.
- For
electric systems that will not benefit from a competitive retail
market, provisions must be made to allow an alternative path.
Second,
in terms of a retail market and benefits for consumers:
- Consumer
electric bills must be "unbundled" to show component
costs for power supply, transmission, distribution, and other
charges.
- Consumer
protection and education programs for low-income and all consumers
must be in place.
- The
affects of load disaggregation should be examined to determine
impacts on potential savings, service efficiency and competitive
access by all customers.
- Access
Pricing must be in place that is equitable and does not subsidize
new competitors, not disadvantage consumers or equity of the existing
utility.
- Public
benefits that might be stranded such as renewable energy programs,energy
efficiency or social programs must be addressed.
- Standard
Offer, Default Service, or Shopping Credit Prices must be formulated
based on realistic costs and market pricing.
-
Market prices must be transparent, no private or hidden pricing
can be allowed that would undermine consumer signals and other
market forces.
-
Stranded costs, or other costs of a transition must be addressed
in a manner that prevents cost shifting and allows for necessary
recovery of costs.
These
issues, and how they may impact or be addressed in Nebraska are
examined in detail in subsequent chapters. From the perspective
of a general discussion on state activities, it is important to
note that how they are handled will be affected by on-going transformation
of the market itself and how electricity and related services may
be bought, sold and delivered. Back, Next
Market
Transformation and Mergers
The
prospect of competition in the electric industry is having a dramatic
effect on both the structure and services in states that have opened
their retail markets and in those which have not. This transformation
can be seen in terms of new players in the market, new multi-service
packages, and new business structures.
The
prospective and actual opening of the retail electricity market
has brought many new participants or "players" into the
electricity service markets. Included in this group of new players
are commodity market and broker organizations formerly participating
in competitive natural gas market and other energy supply markets,
major energy and telemarketing firms, and new investor groups buying
into or creating supply and service organizations. While the total
number of companies engaged in electric supply recently numbered
3,000, that figure has more than doubled with activity at the wholesale
and retail levels. Many international energy companies are also
entering the U.S. electric industry markets.
At
the wholesale level, an increase in players is producing an increase
in the number, volume and nature of power transactions. FERC has
approved 488 electric wholesale generators and an estimated 52,000
megawatts of merchant plant capacity is currently proposed nationwide.
Another 40,000 megawatts of capacity is in transition through plant
divestitures. The level of transactions at the wholesale level has
already increased. It is assumed a similar increase has occurred
in the MAPP region as well.
The
trading of electricity as a commodity has resulted in greater price
volatility and associated futures market where transparent price
information may be found. Also, available are contracts for dealing
with price risk including options and hedging arrangements. These
activities have involved traditional utilities, commodity marketers
and brokers, and financial and commodity exchanges.
As
the volume of wholesale market transactions and the potential for
volatility has grown, there have been pricing problems. This is
apparent in the experiences of New England and California, but more
dramatic was a cost spike in the Mid-West during the June 1998 in
which power shortages and market failure drove prices up from a
range of $25 to $50 per megawatt hour to more than $7,000 per megawatt
hour. Part of that market failure was due to a power marketer defaulting
on delivery as prices rose.
Moody's
Investor Services has noted that delivery failures might not be
anomalies, and that additional failure by power marketers should
be expected given the "large number of players in this nascent
market and fragile financial positions of several of these companies."
One
FERC Commissioner addressing a meeting of power marketers stated
that the Mid-West failure had a profound affect on his thinking
about the state of power markets and what FERC's next steps should
be. He reasoned that the electric industry was straddling two eras
and that too much had happened to stop or turn back. He concluded
that FERC had to move forward aggressively to get transmission organizations
and regional wholesale markets in place.
While
volatility at the wholesale level will affect prices and competitive
supply at the retail level, the retail market is undergoing its
own transformation. At the retail level, new and old players alike
are anticipating the "convergence" of "wires"
and energy services. In order to participate in the competitive
electricity market and replace revenues lost with market share,
utilities are entering into new services such as telecommunication,
home security, cable television, insurance, and real estate. These
efforts are aimed at taking advantage of an incumbent's relationship
with its current and former electricity customers and in many cases,
and to utilize electric utility infrastructure assets such as fiber
optics, underground ducts, overhead lines and wires technology experience.
Natural gas and other companies are approaching the same issue from
their own direction, to add electric services.
In
order to organize and position themselves for wholesale and retail
market transformations, new business structures are emerging. These
include alliances between utility and financial, or multi-service
services organizations, and mergers and consolidations on an increasingly
larger scale. Mergers and consolidations of the industry in particular
hold potential far-reaching impacts for the viability of competitive
markets and benefits for consumers.
2.2.1
Mergers and Consolidations
Along
with the transformation taking place in the market with new players,
new businesses and new services, the structure of the industry is
entering a period of extensive consolidation. As noted in Chapter
One, some analysts anticipate that within five years the industry
may be served by as few as forty utility companies, others estimate
even lower numbers.
Historically,
electric utility mergers and acquisitions can be separated into
three distinct phases. The first phase is the initial mergers and
acquisitions that started at the beginning of the industry in the
latter part of the 19th century and lasted into the 1930s. The nature
of these mergers and acquisitions was a transition from individual
ventures to vast holding companies. This transition occurred in
the absence of effective electricity regulation.
In
phase two, the major, large holding companies were dismantled in
the 1930s and 1940s when the provisions of the Public Utility Regulatory
Policies Act (PUCHA) of 1935 were implemented. This dismantling
lead to the existence of more than 220 investor owned electric utilities,
a dozen of which remained in holding company form and were regulated
by the federal Securities and Exchange Commission.
Phase
three is currently underway and consists of (1) Investor-owned utility
(IOU) mergers and acquisitions, (2) IOU plant acquisitions, (3)
IOU acquisitions of foreign electric utilities, and (4), formation
of new IOU holding companies.
Of
specific interest are potential impacts on Nebraska of regional
electric utility mergers and acquisitions indicated below in Table
2-1.
TABLE
2-1 -- Utility Mergers and Acquisitions in North Central U.S.
Merger
of: |
With |
Date
of Merger |
New
Entity |
Notes |
| Midwest
Energy (Iowa Public Service) |
Iowa
Resources (Iowa Power and Light) |
1990 |
Midwest
Resources, Inc. |
Merger
of Holding and Operating Companies |
| IE
Industries (Iowa Electric Light and Power) |
Iowa
Southern Utilities |
1991 |
IES
Industries, Inc. |
Acquisition |
| Western
Resources (Kansas Power and Light) |
Kansas
Gas and Electric Company |
1992 |
Western
Resources, Inc. |
Acquisition |
| Midwest
Resources, Inc. |
Iowa-Illinois
Gas and Electric |
1995 |
MidAmerican
Energy Co., Inc. |
Merger |
| Union
Electric Company |
Central
Illinois Public Service Co. |
1997 |
Ameren
Corp. |
Merger |
| WPL
Holdings, Inc. |
IES
Industries and Interstate Power Co. |
1998 |
Alliant,
Inc. |
Merger |
| CalEnergy
Company, Inc. |
MidAmerican
Energy Holdings Co. |
1998
(announced and approved by stockholders) |
MidAmerican
Energy |
Purchase/Merger |
| WPS
Resources Corp. (Wisconsin Public Service Corp.) |
Upper
Peninsula Energy Corp. |
1998 |
WPS
Resources Corp. |
Acquisition |
| Western
Resources, Inc. |
Kansas
City Power and Light Co. |
1998
(filed amended merger plan) |
Westar |
Merger
proposal |
| Northern
States Power - Transmission Company subsidiary |
Alliant
Inc. transmission facilities |
1998 |
Northern
States Power - Transmission Company subsidiary |
Lease
of transmission system facilities |
| MidAmerican
Energy |
CBS
and Home Real Estate Companies (Omaha) |
1998 |
|
Acquisition |
| Sempra
Energy |
KN
Energy |
1999 |
Sempra
Energy |
Merger
with Sempra Shares Surviving |
The
broad effect of the above mergers is to create two large electric
utility holding companies in Iowa where there were originally six,
and to create one large electric utility holding company in Missouri/Kansas
where there were originally three utility companies. The Iowa and
Missouri/Kansas borders to Nebraska are the most populated areas
and most significant electrically with the exception of the Western
Area Power Administration to the north.
The
following are typical concerns that arise from electric utility
mergers: 1) increased market concentration in generation and/or
transmission ownership; 2) significantly increased growth in number
of retail customers under single entity; 3) significantly increased
corporate size of merged entity; 4) "convergence" of various
services in new entity. Each of these is discussed briefly below.
2.2.1.1
Increased Market Concentration in Generation and Transmission
There
are several issues to be considered when electric utility mergers
increase concentration of generation and/or transmission. Fewer
generation suppliers in the deregulated, competitive generation
market can lead to oligopoly situations. A market consisting of
a relatively few large generation competitors can lead to potential
price manipulation. Mergers of electric utility transmission systems
can expand ownership control by fewer market entities over a large
portion of the transmission network. Policy-makers should consider
the following transmission-related issues:
Expanded
interstate transmission networks could make oversight on market
power issues more difficult for the states and emphasize the need
for "real" non-discriminatory open access to transmission
service.
Transmission
networks are merging at a time when few effective Independent System
Operators (ISOs) have been formed and federal policy on emerging
Transco's has not been fully developed. The relationship between
ISO's and Transco's has not been fully defined by operation experience
or federal policy, in part because both the ISO and Transco concepts
are in evolutionary stages.
2.2.1.2
Significantly Increased Growth in Number of Customers Served by
Single Entity
The
size of electric utilities on Nebraska's eastern and southern boundaries
should be taken into account when considering changes to the state's
retail market structure:
- MidAmerican
Energy Company headquartered in Iowa has approximately 650,000
electric customers and 620,000 natural gas customers.
- Westar
in Missouri/Kansas will have more than one million electric customers
upon approval of its proposed merger.
- Individually,
Western Resources has approximately 600,000 customers and Kansas
City Power and Light has over 400,000 customers.
- By
comparison, Nebraska has a total of approximately 840,000 metered
electric customers. OPPD, the state's largest retail provider,
has approximately 250,000 electric customers.
2.2.1.3
Significantly Increased Corporate Size of Merged Entity
In
addition to the number of retail customers within the service area
of merged utilities and holding companies, a significant increase
in corporate size and resources is a factor that policy makers must
consider regarding introduction of retail competition in Nebraska.
The following issues should be considered:
- Westar
(Western Resources) has major investments in home security systems;
- MidAmerican
Energy has recently acquired major real estate firms in the Omaha
area;
- Holding
company growth in services "beyond" the electric meter
creates market leverage whether or not the holding company serves
the customer with electricity;
- Some
Nebraska utilities are taking steps to grow the scope of their
business to seek similar advantages.
Increased
size of merged holding companies on state borders could also take
on substantial meaning for the issue of privatization in Nebraska.
Summary
of Market Transformation and Mergers
Impacts
resulting from market transformation and mergers and consolidations
will depend upon actions by state and local governments to limit
market power and the potential for market and consumer abuses. Experienced
regulators have recognized that the best deterrent is in the structure
of the market, rather than behavioral rules. The Federal Trade Commission
staff recommended to FERC in February 1998 that it rely on structural
remedies and asset divestiture to establish effective competition
at the wholesale level. Federal Trade Commission analysts noted
that there are substantial difficulties in identifying and documenting
the exercise of market power and preventing it through rules. Monitoring
could require transaction-by-transaction oversight and would be
difficult when transactions are time sensitive.
The
same is true at the retail level. Incentives for abuse need to be
removed and to the market structure needs to allow multiple players
operating on clear rules, without market dominance. Such a structure
could have strong implications for multi-service providers, particularly
those with large numbers of customers. At the national level, the
American Public Power Association and the National Rural Electric
Cooperative Association have filed a Joint Petition with the Federal
Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) requesting a two-year moratorium
on utility mergers that would combine more than one million customers.
As
part of electric industry restructuring plans, states need to examine
the potential for market power abuses and incorporate protections
into the proposed market structure, as well as assuring adequate
resources for timely anti-trust and restraint-of-trade investigations.
"Convergence" of wires and energy businesses could prove
to be an especially difficult issue.
Pressures
on Nebraska from Neighboring States, Regional Agencies, Federal
Agencies
Electric
utilities in Nebraska and its neighboring states will all engage
in an expanded wholesale power supply market and reorganization
of transmission. But no determinations have yet been made in Iowa,
Kansas, South Dakota, Wyoming, or Colorado to establish retail competition.
TABLE
2-2 -- Restructuring Activity in States Adjacent to Nebraska
| State |
Restructuring
Activity |
Progress |
Significant
Future Events |
| Colorado |
Study
panel to determine if restructuring is in the best interests
of all consumers |
Study
is underway by a 30-member Electric Advisory Panel |
Draft
Report 8/99
Final Report 11/99 |
| Iowa |
Legislative
interim committee and ABI Restructuring Group |
ABI
attempted a consensus restructuring bill by 1/99 |
Failed
to enact legislation in 1999, pointing to 2000 |
| Kansas |
Legislative,
rural supported bill under discussion |
Restructuring
bills, not legislative priority for 1999 term |
Year
2000 legislative activity possible |
| Missouri |
Bills
to be introduced in Legislature in 1999 |
Review
of bills introduced only, focus on wholesale and reliability |
Year
2000 legislative activity possible |
| South
Dakota |
Nothing
of significance |
None |
Nothing
except wait and see |
| Wyoming |
Nothing
of significance |
PSC
is waiting for Legislature to make restructuring move |
Nothing
projected at this time |
As
of mid-1999, there is little pressure emerging from neighboring
states for Nebraska to move toward a competitive retail electric
market. However, given factors such as similar economic characteristics,
similar electricity prices, common marketing areas of various sales
and manufacturing organizations and tradition, events in those states
deserve close monitoring.
As
indicated in Table 2-2, the states indicating the greatest movement
toward establishing retail competition appear to be Iowa and Kansas.
Generally, the neighboring states are relatively low-cost and not
under extensive pressure to create retail competition. Iowa. s progress
to date can be attributed in part to the enactment of legislation
shifting utility property tax obligations to a tax based upon consumption
and the number of poles in use. South Dakota and Wyoming indicate
the least interest in moving toward retail competition.
At
the regional level, the formation of an ISO, Transco, or other regional
transmission organization, could create wholesale market changes
and a rise in wholesale pricing that could trigger greater pressure
for retail competition. Progress toward development of a regional
transmission organization within MAPP appears stalled. Although
MAPP approved a regional tariff, utilities in the east portion of
MAPP are shifting to the Midwest ISO. In western Nebraska, efforts
to form a regional transmission organization known as "IndgeGo"
last year did not reach fruition, although additional efforts are
underway.
At
the federal level, FERC is continuing to pursue regional transmission
organizations and seeks legislative expansion of current jurisdiction
to order participation in a regional organization such as an ISO.
The FERC is encouraging restructuring of the retail market at the
state level and is working to ensure the evolution of transmission
organizations to support state restructuring. Additionally, FERC
has been supportive of electric utility mergers and acquisitions
and will face expanded market power issues if the Public Utility
Holding Company Act of 1935 is repealed.
Mergers
in neighboring states, particularly those that combine services
and already offer some of those services in Nebraska, may hold a
special challenge to state policy-makers.
Summary
Other
states are taking varied approaches, but common problems both in
wholesale markets and efforts to establish retail markets are apparent.
As
noted in section 2.1.2, experience and discussion in other states
indicate several key issues to be considered in any plan to address
expansion of markets for wholesale power supply, and establishment
of retail competition. The most important of these are preconditions
for a competitive market:
First
in terms of structure:
- A
viable wholesale power supply market must be in place with some
type of market hub in the form of a Power Exchange or transaction
center.
- A
transmission network with non-discriminatory access for suppliers
must be in place and fully functioning.
- All
market power issues must be addressed including corporate and
operational reorganization and divestiture of assets;
- A
strong regulatory structure must be in place that can promulgate
rules and standards and provide adequate enforcement and oversight.
- For
electric systems that will not benefit from a competitive retail
market, provisions must be made to allow an alternative path.
Second,
in terms of a retail market and benefits for consumers:
- Consumer
electric bills must be "unbundled" to show component
costs for power supply, transmission, distribution, and other
charges.
- Consumer
protection and education programs for low-income and all consumers
must be in place.
- The
affects of load disaggregation should be examined to determine
impacts on potential savings, service efficiency and competitive
access by all customers.
- Access
Pricing must be in place that is equitable and does not subsidize
new competitors, not disadvantage consumers or equity of the existing
utility.
- Public
benefits that might be stranded such as renewable energy programs,energy
efficiency or social programs must be addressed.
- Standard
Offer, Default Service, or Shopping Credit Prices must be formulated
based on realistic costs and market pricing.
- Market
prices must be transparent, no private or hidden pricing can be
allowed that would undermine consumer signals and other market
forces.
- Stranded
costs, or other costs of a transition must be addressed in a manner
that prevents cost shifting and allows for necessary recovery
of costs.
The
prospect of competition in the electric industry is having a dramatic
effect on both the structure and services in states that have opened
their retail markets and in those which have not. This transformation
can be seen in terms of new players in the market, new multi-service
packages, and new business structures.
Impacts resulting from market transformation and mergers and consolidations
will depend upon actions by state and local governments to limit
market power and the potential for market and consumer abuses. Experienced
regulators have recognized that the best deterrent is in the structure
of the market, rather than behavioral rules. Strong uniform regulation
of the market that includes prevention of market power abuses and
adequate resources for timely anti-trust and restraint-of-trade
investigations is needed. "Convergence" of wires and energy
businesses could prove to be an especially difficult issue.
With
an understanding of these elements, Nebraska needs to assess methods
to address wholesale competition and evaluate the conditions needed
for retail competition to provide benefits for all consumers.
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